Crypto market makers
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Market making for prediction markets

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01
Market making

Why choose a
market maker?

Prediction markets live or die on two things: quotes tight enough to trade against, and prices that track true probability. Neither is negotiable. A market maker keeps YES/NO and multi-outcome books continuously quoted on both sides, so spreads stay tradeable and pricing reflects the real odds — not whichever side last had volume.

FAQ for prediction markets:

Provides continuous two-sided quotes on outcome contracts, keeping spreads tight and the book deep enough for traders to enter and exit without moving the price.
No. We operate with trading-only permissions — no withdrawal rights, no custody. Full control of assets stays with your entity at all times.
Our quoting adapts as a market moves toward resolution, tightening or widening exposure in line with how the outcome is trending.
Yes. When an event is priced differently across venues, that gap gets closed by someone — usually an arbitrageur trading against your book at your expense. We monitor pricing across the broader market and keep your quotes aligned with it, so that gap closes on our terms, not by leaking value to opportunistic traders.
Both YES/NO binary contracts and multi-outcome markets, on centralized and decentralized prediction market platforms.
02
Prediction markets

Credibility through accurate pricing

Market price True probability

At Orcabay we help prediction market platforms keep outcome pricing accurate and tradeable.

Having accurate, continuously quoted pricing is fundamental to every prediction market platform’s credibility. As an active market maker, we tighten spreads, deepen order books, and keep outcome prices honest — from a market’s opening through its resolution.

Stale or wide-spread outcome contracts erode trust in the platform itself: if the price doesn’t reflect the real probability, traders stop trusting the number. We exist to close that gap, continuously, across every market we’re active in.

 
03
Why market making for prediction markets?

Benefits of market making

Market making as a service

Tight, accurate pricing isn’t optional for a prediction market — it’s the product. Orcabay runs continuous, fully automated two-sided quoting built specifically for outcome markets, holding spreads tight and prices honest from the moment a market opens through to resolution. Access a low-latency liquidity solution, keep full non-custodial control of your assets, and get guidance at every stage of a market’s lifecycle.

Continuous two-sided quoting

Tighter spreads, deeper books

Arbitrage protection

24/7 monitoring, alerting & support

99% uptime

Prices that track true probability

Non-custodial solution

Transparent & live reporting

Liquidity advisory

04
Services

What we provide

  • Continuous two-sided quoting
  • Tight spreads
  • Adaptive quoting
  • Non-custodial setup
  • Fast API integration

Market making as a service

Continuous, two-sided quoting tailored to each market’s outcome structure and time-to-resolution.

Liquidity Analytics & Advisory

Live dashboard and reporting on spread, depth, and pricing accuracy against implied probability.

  • Live dashboard, 20+ metrics
  • Real-time spread & depth tracking
  • Accuracy vs. implied probability
  • Weekly / monthly reporting
  • Market structure advisory
  • Cross-venue price monitoring
  • Book aligned with market consensus
  • Gaps closed before they’re exploited
  • Protection from stale-quote sniping
  • Value kept on the platform

Arbitrage Protection

Orcabay tracks pricing across the broader market and keeps the book aligned with it, closing gaps before external traders can exploit them — protecting platform liquidity rather than leaking it.

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